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☆ The IMF's chief is sounding the alarm, says the AI revolution is striking the job market 'like a tsunami'
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( Kwan Wei Kevin Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva says AI will hit the job market "like a tsunami." "We have very little time to get people ready for it, businesses ready for it," she said on Monday. AdvertisementThe AI revolution could have a huge negative impact on the global job market, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said on Monday. The IMF chief was delivering a speech at the Swiss Institute of International Studies in Zurich, where she talked about the impact AI could have on job seekers. AI, Georgieva said, is striking the job market "like a tsunami."

Persons: Kristalina Georgieva, Georgieva, — Organizations: Service, IMF, Swiss Institute of International Studies, Business Locations: Zurich

☆ The US dollar has become so weaponized that central banks are snapping up politically-neutral gold
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Central banks accounted for one-quarter of gold demand in 2022 and 2023, as the institutions bought over 1,000 tons of gold each year, according to the World Gold Council in a recent report. Related storiesThe world's central banks continued buying gold, snapping up 290 tons of gold in the first quarter of this year — the strongest start to any year on record, according to the council. AdvertisementThis suggests that gold purchases by some central banks may have been driven by concerns about sanctions risk, Gopinath said. Central banks will keep buying, despite high pricesWhile China's central bank gold buying has been hogging the headlines, other central banks are also loading up on gold. The World Gold Council wrote in its recent report that other big gold buyers included Turkey and India.

Persons: —, Gita Gopinath, it's, Gopinath, IMF's Gopinath Organizations: Service, Monetary Fund, Business, World Gold, US Treasury, Agency, JPMorgan Locations: Ukraine, Central, Russia, China, Turkey, India

☆ IMF's Kammer: Positive outlook on Europe, soft landing expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIMF's Kammer: Positive outlook on Europe, soft landing expectedAlfred Kammer, director of the European department at the IMF, speaks to CNBC's Karen Tso at the IMF's Spring Meetings.

Persons: Alfred Kammer, Karen Tso Organizations: IMF Locations: Europe

☆ IMF raises its Asia growth forecast for 2024, highlights India's growth and China stimulus as key drivers
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Shreyashi Sanyal | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The International Monetary Fund raised its Asia growth forecast for 2024 on Tuesday, as it remained optimistic about India's growth and focused on the need for more stimulus from China. The IMF now expects Asia's economy to grow 4.5% this year, up 0.3 percentage points from six months earlier. The upward revision reflects upgrades for China, the IMF said, where it expects policy stimulus to provide support. India is currently the world's fifth-largest economy with GDP of $3.7 trillion and is aiming to become the world's third-largest by 2027. IMF's Srinivasan also wrote that strong private consumption will continue to drive growth in Asia's other emerging markets.

Persons: Krishna Srinivasan, IMF's Srinivasan Organizations: Monetary Fund, IMF Locations: Asia, China, Pacific, India

☆ IMF's Azour: Middle East going through severe developments
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIMF's Azour: Middle East going through severe developmentsJihad Azour, director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department at the IMF, speaks to CNBC's Karen Tso.

Persons: Karen Tso Organizations: Central Asia Department, IMF Locations: East

☆ IMF's Srinivasan: Inherent dynamism in APAC region
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIMF's Srinivasan: Inherent dynamism in APAC regionKrishna Srinivasan, IMF's director of the Asia and Pacific department, speaks to CNBC's Karen Tso.

Persons: IMF's Srinivasan, Krishna Srinivasan, Karen Tso Locations: Asia, Pacific

☆ Fiscal policy must stay the course to manage rising debt, IMF's Gaspar says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFiscal policy must stay the course to manage rising debt, IMF's Gaspar saysVitor Gaspar, director of the IMF's fiscal affairs department, discusses the importance of fiscal and monetary policy working in tandem to tackle inflation.

Persons: IMF's Gaspar, Vitor Gaspar

☆ High company valuations a 'worry,' IMF's capital markets chief says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-17 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

High corporate valuations could pose a significant risk to financial stability as market optimism becomes untethered from fundamentals, the IMF's director of the Monetary and Capital Markets Department said Tuesday. Financial markets have been on a tear for much of this year, buoyed by falling inflation and hopes of forthcoming interest rate cuts. But that "optimism" has stretched company valuations to a point where that could become vulnerable to an economic shock, Tobias Adrian said. "We do worry in some segments where valuations have become quite stretched," Adrian told CNBC's Karen Tso Tuesday. Adrian, who was speaking on the side lines of the IMF's Spring Meeting in Washington, said that credit markets were a particular area of concern.

Persons: Tobias Adrian, Adrian, Karen Tso Organizations: Monetary, Capital Markets, International Monetary Fund, World Bank Group, Washington DC, Capital Markets Department, Financial Locations: Washington, United States

☆ Risk of a global recession is minimal, IMF economist says — would take 'a lot to derail'
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-17 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

"When we do the risk assessment around that baseline, the chances that we would have something like a global recession is fairly minimal. The Washington DC-based institute this week nudged its global growth outlook slightly higher to 3.2% in 2024 and projects the same rate in 2025. One of the International Monetary Fund's top economists signals little risk of a global recession, despite the ongoing rumblings of geopolitical uncertainty. That has all combined with the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, which had its biggest wider impact on energy prices in Europe in 2022. And that's one of the big risks that we do see, the implications that could have for oil prices could be substantial.

Persons: Gourinchas, Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, Karen Tso, Gita Gopinath, we're Organizations: U.S, IMF, Washington DC, International Monetary, Palestinian, Hamas, CNBC Locations: Europe, New York, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Portugal, Belgium, Gaza, Red, Yemeni, Russia, Ukraine, Asia, Israel, Iran

☆ IMF's Adrian: Do worry that some segments of the market are looking stretched
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIMF's Adrian: Do worry that some segments of the market are looking stretchedTobias Adrian, the director of the Monetary and Capital Markets Department at the IMF, speaks to CNBC's Karen Tso at the IMF's Spring Meetings.

Persons: Adrian, Tobias Adrian, Karen Tso Organizations: Monetary, Capital Markets Department, IMF

☆ IMF's Gourinchas: See Fed cutting three times in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIMF's Gourinchas: See Fed cutting three times in 2024Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, economic counsellor and director of the Research Department at the IMF, weighs in on the fund's global outlook on growth and inflation, and why economies are beginning to see such divergence.

Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas Organizations: Research Department, IMF

☆ IMF upgrades global growth forecast as economy proves 'surprisingly resilient' despite downside risks
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday slightly raised its global growth forecast, saying the economy had proven "surprisingly resilient" despite inflationary pressures and monetary policy shifts. The IMF now expects global growth of 3.2% in 2024, up by a modest 0.1 percentage point from its earlier January forecast, and in line with the growth projection for 2023. The IMF's chief economist, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, said the findings suggest the global economy is heading for a "soft landing," following a string of economic crises, and that the risks to the outlook were now broadly balanced. "Despite gloomy predictions, the global economy remains remarkably resilient, with steady growth and inflation slowing almost as quickly as it rose," he said in a blog post. But dimmer prospects in China and other large emerging market economies could weigh on global trade partners, the report said.

Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas Organizations: Monetary Fund, IMF, U.S Locations: Nanjing, China

☆ It's prudent for the Fed to 'wait and see' before cutting rates, says IMF's Gita Gopinath
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt's prudent for the Fed to 'wait and see' before cutting rates, says IMF's Gita GopinathGita Gopinath, first deputy managing director of the International Monetary Fund, tells CNBC's Karen Tso that it makes sense for the Federal Reserve to "wait and see" before starting to cut rates given the strength of the U.S. economy and stronger-than-expected inflation.

Persons: Gita Gopinath, Karen Tso Organizations: Fed, International Monetary Fund, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S

☆ A spillover of Middle East tensions is a big geopolitical risk, says IMF's Gita Gopinath
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA spillover of Middle East tensions is a big geopolitical risk, says IMF's Gita GopinathSpeaking to CNBC's Karen Tso at the International Monetary Fund's Spring Meetings, Gita Gopinath, first deputy managing director of the IMF, discusses the major geopolitical risks facing markets and the world.

Persons: Gopinath, Karen Tso, Gita Gopinath Organizations: International

☆ The Russian economy is in for very tough times, IMF's Kristalina Georgieva says
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Russian economy is in for very tough times, IMF's Kristalina Georgieva saysKristalina Georgieva, managing director at the IMF, says the Russian economy is in for very tough times, after President Vladimir Putin's recent attempt to justify the war in Ukraine.

Persons: IMF's Kristalina Georgieva, Kristalina Georgieva, Vladimir Putin's Organizations: IMF Locations: Russian, Ukraine

☆ IMF's Georgieva Says She's Confident on Economic Outlook Despite Uncertainties
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-11 | by ( Feb. | At A.M. | ) www.usnews.com time to read: 1 min

DUBAI (Reuters) - The managing director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Kristalina Georgieva, said on Sunday she was confident about the economic outlook despite uncertainties because the global economy has remained resilient. In a speech at the World Governments Summit in Dubai, Georgieva said the IMF would publish a paper on Monday that shows phasing out explicit energy subsidies could save $336 billion in the Middle East, equivalent to the economies of Iraq and Libya combined. (Reporting by Maha El Dahan and Federico Maccioni; Writing by Rachna Uppal; Editing by William Mallard)War in Israel and Gaza View All 206 Images

Persons: Kristalina Georgieva, Georgieva, Maha El Dahan, Federico Maccioni, Rachna Uppal, William Mallard Organizations: Reuters, International Monetary Fund, World Governments Locations: DUBAI, Dubai, Iraq, Libya, Israel, Gaza

☆ IMF expects new housing demand in China to drop by around 50% in the next decade
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesBEIJING — Demand for new housing in China is set to drop by around 50% over the next decade, making it harder for Beijing to quickly bolster the country's overall growth. China's real estate sector and related industries have accounted for about a quarter of the country's gross domestic product. Zhang said China's housing demand would remain large, and policy support would gradually kick in. "Therefore, a significant decline in housing demand is very unlikely to happen," he said. The IMF report compared housing demand and new starts from the 2012 to 2021 period with estimates for 2024 to 2033.

Persons: Zhengxin Zhang, Zhang, Evergrande, Sonali Jain, Chandra, Nir Klein Organizations: Nurphoto, Getty, International Monetary Fund's, IMF, U.S ., People's Bank of China Locations: Huai'an, China, BEIJING, Beijing, Evergrande, Hong Kong, Asia, Pacific

☆ Vladimir Putin's war with Ukraine is boosting Russia's economy, IMF says
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-30 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The International Monetary Fund raised its 2024 forecast for Russia's economy. AdvertisementVladimir Putin's ongoing war with Ukraine is boosting Russia's economy, the International Monetary Fund said. In an update to its World Economic Outlook issued Tuesday, the IMF raised its 2024 growth forecast for Russia from 1.1% to 2.6%. The IMF flagged Russia's high military spending as one factor powering growth. Russia's tight labor market has also helped boost the economy by pushing up wages and consumer spending, according to the IMF.

Persons: —, Vladimir Putin's, Dmitry Peskov, Pierre, Olivier Gourrinchas Organizations: Monetary Fund, Service, International Monetary Fund, IMF, Russia Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Moscow, China, India, Brazil

Worldwide, the IMF thinks inflation will ease from 6.8% in 2023 to 5.8% in 2024 and 4.4% in 2025. The IMF expects the 20 countries that share the euro currency to collectively grow a meager 0.9% this year. The IMF also modestly downgraded the outlook for the Japanese economy, to 0.9%, a drop from 1.9% growth in 2023. The IMF expects oil prices, which plunged 16% in 2023, to fall a further 2.3% this year and 4.8% in 2025. The IMF expects world trade to grow just 3.3% this year and 3.6% in 2025, below the historical average of 4.9%.

Persons: ’ Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, Gourinchas, ’ Gourinchas, Joe Biden’s Organizations: WASHINGTON, Monetary Fund, Federal Reserve, IMF, Trade Organization Locations: United States, Yemen, Red, Asia, Europe, Suez, Africa, U.S, Brazil, India, Southeast Asia, Russia, Ukraine, Russian, China

☆ IMF upgrades global growth forecast, citing U.S. resilience and policy support in China
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-30 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Buildings in Pudong's Lujiazui Financial District in Shanghai, China, on Monday, Jan. 29, 2024. The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday nudged its global growth forecast higher, citing the unexpected strength of the U.S. economy and fiscal support measures in China. It now sees global growth in 2024 at 3.1%, up 0.2 percentage points from its prior October projection, followed by 3.2% expansion in 2025. It forecasts growth this year of 2.1% in the U.S., 0.9% in both the euro zone and Japan, and 0.6% in the United Kingdom. "What we've seen is a very resilient global economy in the second half of last year, and that's going to carry over into 2024," the IMF's chief economist, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, told CNBC's Karen Tso on Tuesday.

Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, Karen Tso Organizations: Monetary Fund, IMF Locations: Lujiazui, Shanghai, China, U.S, Brazil, India, Russia, Japan, United Kingdom

☆ US commercial real estate is suffering one of the steepest price declines in at least half a century, IMF warns
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Commercial real estate prices are in the midst of one of the biggest drops in the past half-century, the IMF said. AdvertisementUS commercial real estate prices are enduring one of the sharpest drop-offs in the last half-century, easily topping losses seen in previous rate-hike cycles, the International Monetary Fund said. Since the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike in March 2022, US commercial property prices have slumped by over 11%, the agency outlined in a blog post. "Some of the earlier rate hikes, though, such as in 2004-06, were subsequently followed by a recession during which commercial property prices recorded notable declines as demand fell." In one worst-case scenario, that could as much as $1 trillion in commercial real estate equity, according to Cantor Fitzgerald CEO Howard Lutnick.

Persons: —, Andrea Deghi, Cantor Fitzgerald, Howard Lutnick Organizations: Service, International Monetary Fund, Federal, International Monetary, IMF

☆ AI will affect about 40% of global jobs: IMF
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( Kwan Wei Kevin Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva says AI will impact roughly 40% of global employment. She expects advanced economies to be more affected than emerging markets and developing economies. AdvertisementIMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva predicts that AI will affect roughly 40% of jobs worldwide. This is because of AI's "ability to impact high-skilled jobs," Georgieva said. In comparison, Georgieva expects emerging markets and developing economies to "face fewer immediate disruptions from AI."

Persons: Kristalina Georgieva, —, Georgieva, Goldman Sachs, Annesh Raman, Raman, Molly Wood Organizations: Service, IMF, Business Insider

☆ IMF says Sri Lanka debt deal could help board clear first bailout review
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-30 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) logo is seen outside the headquarters building in Washington, U.S., September 4, 2018. The deal comes about a month after Sri Lanka's agreement with the Export-Import Bank of China covering about $4.2 billion of outstanding debt, while clearing the IMF review could trigger a second tranche of about $334 million in funds. "These understandings pave the way for the IMF Executive Board to consider completion of the first review of Sri Lanka's four-year Extended Fund Facility Arrangement," Peter Breuer, IMF's mission chief for Sri Lanka, said in a statement. "We look forward to the Executive Board taking up this review by mid-December and the continuation of our productive collaboration with Sri Lanka in the period ahead." Sri Lanka plunged into its worst financial crisis in seven decades last year after its foreign exchange reserves dwindled to record lows.

Persons: Yuri Gripas, Lanka's, Peter Breuer, IMF's, Nandalal Weerasinghe, Uditha Jayasinghe, Sudipto Ganguly, Clarence Fernandez, Steohen Coates Organizations: Monetary Fund, REUTERS, Rights, International Monetary Fund, Sri, Export, Import Bank of, IMF, Asian Development Bank, World Bank, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Import Bank of China, Sri Lanka's, Sri Lanka

☆ Argentina's Milei to meet Biden aide after lunch with Bill Clinton
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

WASHINGTON, Nov 27 (Reuters) - Argentina's President-elect Javier Milei will meet with a top security aide to U.S. President Joe Biden in Washington, the White House confirmed on Monday, after the far-right libertarian lunched with former U.S. President Bill Clinton in New York. Upon arriving in the United States, Milei first visited the tomb of a well-known orthodox Jewish rabbi before having lunch with Clinton, according to a statement from the president-elect's office. On Tuesday, Milei will meet with U.S. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan, while his economic advisers are scheduled to meet with senior U.S. finance officials to discuss the president-elect's economic priorities. Argentina is the IMF's largest debtor nation as it struggles to tame inflation approaching 150%. Milei will take office on Dec. 10 at a time when over two-fifths of Argentina's population is in poverty and a recession looms for South America's second-largest economy.

Persons: Javier Milei, Joe Biden, Bill Clinton, Milei, Luis Caputo, Karina Milei, Clinton, Jake Sullivan, Donald Trump, Jarrett Renshaw, David Lawder, Jorge Otoala, Brendan O'Boyle, David Alire Garcia, Simon Cameron, Moore Organizations: White House, U.S, Democrat, Argentine, U.S . National, International Monetary Fund, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Washington, New York, Milei, New Jersey, United States, Argentina, Buenos Aires

Argentine President-elect Javier Milei departs the Eisenhower Executive Office Building after meeting with Biden administration staff at the White House complex in Washington, U.S., November 28, 2023. His foreign policy, meanwhile, is unabashedly pro-United States and pro-Israel, with a cooler stance on top trade partners Brazil and China. 2 Gita Gopinath and other fund officials, the fund said separately. The IMF has said in the past that dollarization is not a substitute for sound macroeconomic policy. Milei and IMF officials had a first virtual meeting on Friday, which Georgieva called a "very constructive engagement".

Persons: Javier Milei, Kevin Lamarque, Milei, Jake Sullivan, Juan Gonzalez, Benjamin Gedan, Alberto Fernandez, Vladimir Putin, Kristalina Georgieva, Posse, Luis Caputo, Gita Gopinath, Georgieva, Jason Lange, Rodrigo Campos, Rosalba O'Brien, Christopher Cushing Organizations: Argentine, Biden, REUTERS, Rights, U.S, White, National Security, Western, United, Israel, America, Wilson, International Monetary Fund, IMF, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Washington, Argentina, United States, Brazil, China, U.S, Moscow, Ukraine, Beijing, Argentine, New York

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